Correct score predictions today
Correct score predictions for Tuesday 10 November 2026: the three likeliest scores for each of 23 matches from our goals model, with the chance of each. Over 2,174 tested matches the likeliest score came up 13.1% of the time, almost exactly the 13.0% the model expected.
| Match | Likeliest score | 2nd | 3rd | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Egypt v Malawi Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 1-0 21.9% | 2-0 17.0% | 0-0 14.7% | 1.5-0.4 |
 Ghana v Somalia Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 17:00 · few results on file | 2-0 20.3% | 1-0 20.1% | 3-0 13.5% | 2.0-0.3 |
 Mali v Rwanda Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 1-0 19.6% | 2-0 17.2% | 0-0 11.7% | 1.7-0.4 |
 Cameroon v Namibia Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 1-0 19.0% | 0-0 15.5% | 2-0 12.4% | 1.3-0.6 |
 Senegal v Sudan Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 1-0 18.8% | 2-0 18.0% | 3-0 11.3% | 1.9-0.4 |
 Nigeria v Tanzania Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-0 17.9% | 2-0 15.4% | 0-0 11.0% | 1.7-0.5 |
 Comoros v Congo Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 15:00 · few results on file | 1-0 16.6% | 0-0 14.0% | 1-1 13.1% | 1.2-0.8 |
 Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-0 15.7% | 0-0 15.3% | 1-1 13.7% | 1.1-0.8 |
 Algeria v Togo Internationals · Sat 14 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 1-0 15.5% | 2-0 15.3% | 3-0 9.9% | 1.9-0.6 |
 Tunisia v Libya Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-0 15.4% | 2-0 15.3% | 3-0 10.0% | 2.0-0.6 |
 Burkina Faso v Mauritania Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 2-0 15.1% | 1-0 14.3% | 3-0 10.4% | 2.1-0.6 |
 Congo DR v Sierra Leone Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-0 15.0% | 1-1 12.2% | 2-0 11.7% | 1.5-0.8 |
 Morocco v Niger Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 22:00 · few results on file | 2-0 13.7% | 1-0 12.9% | 3-0 9.4% | 2.1-0.7 |
 Gabon v Lesotho Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 2-0 13.7% | 3-0 11.4% | 1-0 10.7% | 2.5-0.6 |
 Angola v South Sudan Internationals · Sat 14 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 2-0 13.6% | 1-0 11.7% | 3-0 10.2% | 2.3-0.7 |
 Zambia v Burundi Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 15:00 · few results on file | 0-1 13.4% | 1-1 13.1% | 0-0 10.3% | 0.9-1.4 |
 Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-1 13.1% | 1-0 11.1% | 0-1 8.8% | 1.4-1.1 |
 Mozambique v Ethiopia Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 15:00 · few results on file | 1-1 12.8% | 0-1 9.7% | 1-2 8.6% | 1.2-1.4 |
 Bafana Bafana v Kenya Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 1-1 12.8% | 1-0 12.1% | 2-0 9.2% | 1.5-1.0 |
 Uganda v Botswana Internationals · Sat 14 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 2-0 11.9% | 1-0 11.8% | 1-1 10.2% | 2.0-0.8 |
 Ivory Coast v Gambia Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 2-0 11.8% | 1-0 11.3% | 1-1 9.9% | 2.0-0.8 |
 Benin v Central African Republic Internationals · Thu 12 Nov, 21:00 · few results on file | 2-0 11.0% | 2-1 9.5% | 3-0 8.9% | 2.4-0.9 |
 Cape Verde v Liberia Internationals · Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 · few results on file | 2-0 10.2% | 2-1 9.9% | 1-1 9.8% | 2.1-1.0 |
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Correct score predictions: questions
How often do correct score predictions come in?
Rarely, for anyone. Tested match by match since August 2025, our likeliest score came up 13.1% of the time (the model expected 13.0%), and the actual score was among our top three 32.7% of the time. That is why correct-score odds are long.
When is a correct score bet worth it?
When the price pays more than the chance implies. A score our model gives 12% is fair at about 8.3; if a licensed book offers 9.00 or more, the price beats the chance. Check the bookmaker’s correct-score market against the chance shown here.
How are the scores worked out?
Each team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results; the expected goals for each side give the chance of every score from 0-0 to 10-10, with a correction for low scores, which simple models get wrong.